Here are our first annual Oscar predictions! We won’t guarantee anything, of course, but these are our best guesses for every statue on Sunday night. Full nominee list here.
And because we can’t resist, some commentary on what should win, if we think the Academy may make a few bogus choices on Sunday night.
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
After so many close losses, even without Speech being the Best Picture front runner, this was going to be Firth’s year. Much to Ryan’s dismay-he would like to see the honor go to Jesse Eisenberg.
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Bale is the clear front-runner, but Geoffrey Rush is a possible upset.
I would be surprised if Geoffrey Rush wins, he’s won once before, and the Academy may want to honor a film like Winter’s Bone (John Hawkes) in this category.
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
After Annette Benning being front-runner for the longest time, Natalie Portman seems like the consensus candidate. First Hillary, and now Natalie. Poor Annette just can’t catch a break.
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
While some are suggesting Hailee Steinfeld is a possible spoiler for both Fighter women, I don’t think that’s much of a real possibility.
Best Picture: The King’s Speech
We’ve said it before, and we’ll say it again. The Social Network should win.
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3
Seems like a lock.
Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland
I think this is one where you can substitute “most’ for “best,” and Tim Burton’s film fits the bill.
Wally Pfister won the top prize from the American Society of Cinematography, look for him to pair it with an Oscar.
Costume Design: Alice in Wonderland
Again, Alice certainly had the “most.”
Best Director: Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
David Fincher should definitely win, but the Director’s Guild Award is one of the most consistent predictors, with the Oscar matching the winner 90% of the time or more.
Best Documentary Feature: Inside Job
The most buzz certainly belongs to Exit Through the Gift Shop, and I think it should win, but remember the voters are going to be other documentary filmmakers, whom I don’t think will take as kindly to Banksy’s film (prank?) as we have.
Best Documentary-Short Subject: The Warriors of Qiugang
I haven’t seen any of this category, but this seems to have the most buzz about it.
Film Editing: The Social Network
The Social Network is an editing triumph. It would be a travesty for it not to win.
Best foreign language film: Biutiful
We’re basing this pick primary on Javier’s nomination for Best Actor.
Makeup: The Wolfman
This seems to be the pick among other internet types, although we think Barney’s Version should win for the job they did on Giamatti.
Best Original Score: The Social Network
A great score, and Reznor already won the Golden Globe.
Best Original Song: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3
I don’t think enough people saw Country Song for it to upset.
Best Animated Short: Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)
Best Live Action Short Film: God of Love
Sound Editing: Inception
A great job. That’s pretty much it.
Sound Mixing: The Social Network
Some of the most notable sound mixing in a while, mixing the dialogue with the background noise added a lot to the movie.
Visual Effects: Inception
A great mix of both digital and practical effects.
Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network
Original Screenplay: Inception
King’s Speech could upset, but this will likely be Nolan’s consolation prize.